There's a plausible chance that we may be alone in the galaxy right now. But the odds that the galaxy has never, and will never, host other civilizations is far less likely. Today we explore the possibility of communicating through time, and how such a feat might be accomplished.
You can now support our research program and the Cool Worlds Lab at Columbia University:
Thank-you to Kevin Clark, Tom Widdowson, Denny Smith, Stephanie Hackley, Kolos Kantor, Patrick Herman, Abel Aganbegyan, Claudio Bottaccini, Daniel Brunk, Scott Fincher & James Kindred for their support and especially to Executive Producers Mark Sloan, Laura Sanborn & Douglas Daughaday.
► Freitas & Valdes (1999), The Search for Extraterrestrial Artifacts (SETA), JBIS, 36, 501:
► Luc Arnold (2005), Transit Lightcurve Signatures of Artificial Objects, ApJ, 627, 534:
► Jeanna Bryner (2010), Odds of Life on Newfound Earth-Size Planet '100 Percent,' Astronomer Says, Space.com:
► David Kipping (2020), An Objective Bayesian Analysis of Life's Early Start and Our Late Arrival, PNAS, 117, 11995:
► Denis Chow (2011), On the Moon, Flags & Footprints of Apollo Astronauts Won't Last Forever, space.com:
::Video clips used::
► Intro clip are images from NASA's EPIC DSCOVR mission, interpolated by BlueTurn:
► Stars time lapse by Ben Vegel:
► Radio teleascope timelapse by Alex Cherney and CSIRO:
► NASA/JPL-Caltech/T. Pyle (SSC-Caltech)
► Galaxy fly through animation by AA VFX:
► Veritas timelapse by Daniel Gall:
► Milky Way animation by Stefan Payne-Wardenaar:
► Spinning galaxy animation by Huy Trường Nguyễn:
► Flying through stars by Wilson Blindado:
► Exoplanet animation by ESO/M. Kornmesser:
► New York timekapse by Urban VFX:
► Earth in 4k by NASA/ESA/M.Kornmesser:
► Sand dunes blowing by HD Footage:
► Pyramids from AirPano VR:
► Easter Island footage by Michael Kohen:
► Stonehenge timelapse by Love Great Britain:
► Museum tour by ProWalk Tours:
► Voyager animations by NASA JPL Caltech:
► Galaxy colonization animation by Jonathan Carroll-Nellenback
► Outro animation by ESA/Hubble and M. Kornmesser:
► Intro/Outro voice over by Carl Sagan Pale Blue Dot
::Movies/TV scenes used::
► Contact (1997) Warner Bros.
► Ad Astra (2019) 20th Century Fox
► Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (2017) EuropaCorp Distribution
► Papillon (1973) Allied Artists
► The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford (2007) Warner Bros.
► Into The Wild (2007) Paramount Vantage
► Interstellar (2014) Paramount Pictures
► The Time Machine (2002) DreamWorks Pictures
All music used is licensed by SoundStripe.com (SS) [shorturl.at/ptBHI] or via Creative Commons (CC) Attribution License (
► Fable by Stephen Keech licensed via SS
► My Unbelief by Hill licensed via SS
► Cylinder Five by Chris Zabriskie licensed under a CC Attribution license:
► Painted Deserts by Shimmer licensed via SS
► Always Dreaming by Caleb Etheridge via SS
► Waking Up by Atlas licensed via SS
► Cylinder Two by Chris Zabriskie licensed under a CC Attribution license:
► We Were Never Meant to Live Here by Chris Zabriskie licensed under a CC Attribution license:
► Horizon by Joachim Heinrich licensed under a CC Attribution license:
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Addiction and trust: Marc Lewis at TEDxRadboudU 2013
A former drug addict himself, Lewis now researches addiction. In order to get over ones addiction, he explains, self-trust is necessary. Unfortunately, self- trust is extremely difficult for an addict to achieve. There are two factors that make it so difficult to get over an addiction: lack of self-control and an inability to put off reward. An addict wants his fix and he wants it now, despite the risk of losing out on a happier, healthier future.
The way to build self-trust, Lewis explained, and get over an addiction is for the addict to begin an internal dialogue with his future self to convince his present self that it can, in fact, live without its addiction. Lewis finished by explaining how he did just that. By writing the simple word 'NO' on a piece of paper and reading it at every moment he had a craving, he gradually started believing that if he could cope a few hours without drugs, then he could cope for a few days and, eventually, for good. He pleads that the only real way to help addicts is to motivate them to place their trust in themselves and to encourage them to engage in their own positive internal dialogue.
In the spirit of ideas worth spreading, TEDx is a program of local, self-organized events that bring people together to share a TED-like experience. At a TEDx event, TEDTalks video and live speakers combine to spark deep discussion and connection in a small group. These local, self-organized events are branded TEDx, where x = independently organized TED event. The TED Conference provides general guidance for the TEDx program, but individual TEDx events are self-organized.* (*Subject to certain rules and regulations)
Was There Someone Here Before Us? And Unusual Technosignatures with Jason Wright
Were there prior technological civilizations in our solar system?
What are some unusual and odd alien technosignatures?
Jason Wright joins John Michael Godier to explore unusual technosignatures from alien civilizations. Looking for red spirals, dyson spheres, and other signs of intelligent life within the universe. The idea of prior technological civilizations existing either on ancient venus, mars, or even earth is explored. Would they be aliens if they came from earth then left?
Prior Indigenous Technological Species by Jason T. Wright:
Jason Wright twitter:
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Mark Blyth - So can we have it all?
This lecture is part of the McMaster Department of Philosophy's Summer School in Capitalism, democratic solidarity, and Institutional design
Did We Just Detect a New Wow Signal from Proxima Centauri?
News has leaked of the discovery of a radio transmission from our nearest neighboring star, Proxima Centauri. Did we just detect alien communications?! Join us for this special video with Professor Kipping explaining what we know and why some skepticism is warranted.
You can now support our research program and the Cool Worlds Lab at Columbia University:
Get Stash here!
Thank-you to K. Clark, T. Widdowson, D. Smith, S. Hackley, M. Sloan, L. Sanborn, K. Kantor, P. Herman, A. Aganbegyan, C. Bottaccini, D. Brunk, D. Daughaday, S. Fincher, J. Kindred, A. Jones, J. Allen, S. Baldwin, J. Black, S. Brownlee, S. Chaturvedi, D. Denholm, T. Dorais, G. Downton, E. Urrestarazu, G. Fulton, S. Griffiths, P. Halloran, J. Jurcevic, N. Kildal, J. Kobernick, W. Kobernick, V. Kremer, M. Lijoi, S. Loftin, B. Loizides, A. Maslyanchuk, B. Matson, O. Mcintyre, L. Mitchell, A. Pelletier, J. Rivillas, B. Robinson, Z. Star, L. Steely, E. Stefan-Matyus, M. Steven, E. West, B. York, T. Zajonc, P. Gowd, S. Kelsey, P. Kommareddy, C. Wolfred, D. Vennel, E. Dessoi, F. Naeem, F. Rebolledo, H. Laging, J. Falls, J. Adams, M. Gremillion, P. Rutherford, T. Kline, T. Leger, L. Skov, D. Roberts, E. Wilson, I. Baskerville, J. Bassnett, J. Shackleford, M. Undin, M. Kroebel, I. Johnstone, G. Suter, I. Hopcraft, J. Valdes, P. Akrill-Misso, W. Robertson, E. Orman, G. Ingham, D. Hecke, J. Pilloff, T. Bernhard, D. Dianovszki, E. Cook, S. Mass, T. Richards, T. Lancaster, C. Stouffer, G. Benson, A. de Vaal, C. Diamantis, J. Wenzel, M. Elliott, M. Wallstab, S. Bialek, B. Thomson, B. Daniluk, B. Bowen, D. Jacobson & M. Forbes.
► Parkes timelapse by Angelo Papakostas:
► LEO orbits by NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center Scientific Visualization Studio:
► Moon transit by NASA/NOAA/EPIC:
► Satellite orbit animation by ESA:
► Molniya orbit animation by Sergey Lemeshencko:
Music used is licensed via Creative Commons (CC) Attribution License ( and/or with permission from the artist.
► Trace Correction by Indive licensed under a CC Attribution license:
#BLC1 #Wow2020 #BreakthroughListen
Nobel Symposium Martin Eichenbaum Modern DSGE models: Theory and evidence
Nobel Symposium on Money and Banking, May 26 - 28, 2018 in Stockholm Martin Eichenbaum Modern DSGE models: Theory and evidence
Neuroangiographic Anatomy - Yince Loh, MD, FNCS
Seattle Science Foundation is a non-profit organization dedicated to the international collaboration among physicians, scientists, technologists, engineers and educators. The Foundation's training facilities and extensive internet connectivity have been designed to foster improvements in health care through professional medical education, training, creative dialogue and innovation.
NOTE: All archived recorded lectures are available for informational purposes only and are only eligible for self-claimed Category II credit. They are not intended to serve as, or be the basis of a medical opinion, diagnosis, prognosis, or treatment for any particular patient.
Policy in a pandemic: Eduardo Andrade on behavioural science and COVID-19
Eduardo Andrade discusses the role that behavioural science and education plays in setting public policy to combat the COVID-19 pandemic.
Eduardo Andrade is professor and Vice-Dean of FGV EBAPE in Rio de Janeiro and is interviewed by Anna Petherick, Departmental Lecturer in Public Policy at the Blavatnik School of Government.
Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford
14. Demographic Transition in Developing Countries
Global Problems of Population Growth (MCDB 150)
By 1950, in most of the underdeveloped world, mortality had fallen to about half its pre-modern rate. The birth rate, however, had remained high and, by 1950, was about twice the death rate. For the rest of the century, both rates fell dramatically and in parallel, maintaining the gap. The enormous excess of births over deaths in this period is known as 'the population explosion.' By 1990, the world population was growing at almost 90 million a year. Comparing the Demographic Transition in Europe and in the currently developing countries, the latter started 100 years later at a much lower economic level, fell from much higher birth and death rates, occurred much faster and with a much higher population growth rate, and added vastly more people. The developing countries saw the benefits that had accrued to the West as a result of the transition and then rapidly appropriated it for themselves. But while European countries may have quadrupled their population over 200 years, third world countries grew by as much as ten times in a much shorter period and they are still growing at a rapid rate. The problems of this rapid growth (still about 80 million a year) abound. The traditional scourges of starvation (9 million deaths a year), disease (AIDS, Tuberculosis, Malaria -- all claim between 1 and 2 million deaths per year) and war (Hiroshima and Nagasaki atomic bombs ~200,000 deaths) are all far too small to stabilize population. People in developing countries who want to limit their fertility, are often afraid of contraceptives (especially side-effects) and yet are willing to undergo horrendously dangerous illegal abortions to avert a childbirth.
00:00 - Chapter 1. Introduction
11:22 - Chapter 2. Issues with Mortality and Fertility Change in Developing Countries
22:27 - Chapter 3. Volume of Population Growth in Mortality Transition
26:55 - Chapter 4. Comparing Fertility Transition to Famine
36:57 - Chapter 5. Comparing Mortality Transition and Disease and War
44:49 - Chapter 6. Desires to Decrease Fertility
57:11 - Chapter 7. Abortion
01:03:05 - Chapter 8. Family Planning and Fertility Decline Worldwide
Complete course materials are available at the Open Yale Courses website:
This course was recorded in Spring 2009.
What is the Graphene Flagship?
A short presentation by Jari Kinaret, the Director of the Graphene Flagship
6.10 Intertemporal Example
Asset Pricing with Prof. John H. Cochrane
PART I. Module 6. Factor Pricing Models
More course details:
Techniques of Inter-temporal Optimization
Paper:Economics of growth and development - I
Lessons from a tribal prosecutor | TaNeel Filesteel | TEDxBozeman
TaNeel Filesteel, a Tribal Prosecutor for the Fort Belknap Tribal Government, asks us to challenge the definition and practice of American justice within our tribal criminal justice systems. She weaves poetry and storytelling into a powerful talk on healing inter-generational trauma, strengthening tribal sovereignty, and the transformation of education within Indian Country. TaNeel Filesteel is a citizen of the Aaniih and Nakoda Tribes of the Fort Belknap Indian Reservation and Apsaalooke of the Crow Nation in Montana. TaNeel is a student at Salish Kootenai College majoring in Tribal Governance and Administration and has garnered an impressive list of accomplishments and attributes her early success to her family’s dedication to education and cultural value. In 2017, Filesteel was appointed to serve as the Deputy Prosecutor for the Fort Belknap Tribal Government, a position she continues to occupy until she attends Law School in the fall of 2020. She recently worked as the Regional Organizing Coordinator for the Montana Democratic Party, where she organized the Native Vote on the Fort Belknap and Flathead Reservations in the 2018 mid-term election cycle. Filesteel has learned many valuable lessons throughout her vast experiences and hopes to reform the tribal criminal justice system as an attorney. This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at
How academic freedom strengthens the bonds of accumulated knowledge | Nicholas Christakis
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Humans are unique in that we learn socially and actively teach each other lessons of survival.Freedom of expression allows accumulated knowledge, that which is passed down through generations and across cultures, to flourish within and benefit society.The opinions expressed in this video do not necessarily reflect the views of Stand Together, which encourages the expression of diverse viewpoints within a culture of civil discourse and mutual respect.
Nicholas A. Christakis is a physician, sociologist, and director of the Human Nature Lab at Yale University, where he is the Sterling Professor of Social and Natural Science. His most recent book is Blueprint: The Evolutionary Origins of a Good Society (March 2019). Follow him on Twitter @NAChristakis
NICHOLAS CHRISTAKIS: Recently I've been thinking a lot about the evolutionary origins of a good society. This idea that there might be a blueprint for the kind of society that people might make. In fact, that this might be a universal blueprint that people around the world might uniformly manifest these qualities. Let me give you an example. For instance, everywhere in the world we find friendship. In every society people are friends with each other. In every society people love their mates, for example. In every society people cooperate with each other.
Another thing that people do in every society is they teach each other things. Now you probably take this for granted that people teach each other things but actually it's really unusual in the animal kingdom. So, for example, many animals learn stuff. A little fish in the sea can learn that if it swims up to the light it'll find food there and it learns. So swim up to the light, I find food. And it's learning independently. Some animals, however, learn socially, and social learning is a rather different thing. For example, by imitation. So I watch – so you put your hand in the fire and you burn your hand. That's like the fish swimming to the light. You learn something. You've paid a price. You burned your hand but now you've learned something that the fire burns. Now I can watch you put your hand in the fire and I get almost as much knowledge but I pay none of the price. So that's incredibly efficient. That kind of social learning is incredibly efficient and this is much less common in the animal kingdom.
But we do something else. We not only learn from each other, we teach each other stuff. And this is exceedingly rare in the animal kingdom. We do it, elephants do it, certain primates do it, and certain other species engage in the affirmative teaching of one animal teaching another animal. And this is extraordinary and it lies actually at the root of our capacity for culture. The very fact that we are able to accumulate knowledge and transmit it across space and time so that when you are born you actually are born into a world in which calculus has already been invented. You were born into a world in which animals have already been domesticated. You were born into a world in which roads have already been built. All this accumulated knowledge is yours for the taking. You were born into a world in which the stars have been mapped. Other people have done this and they've transmitted it to you across time. You are learning from them. They are teaching you.
Or across space. Somewhere else in the world something is invented or a friend of mine discovers something and teaches it to me. There's a lateral transmission that's taking place, not just an intertemporal transmission that's taking place. So teaching is a key and fundamental aspect of our humanity. It's been shaped by natural selection, it's universally seen in societies around the world, and it lies at the core of our ability to be a cultural animal which, in turn, is what makes us the ascendant species on the planet. Well, how are we going to teach and learn from each other if we don't talk to each other. And how are we going to teach and learn from each other if we lie to each other. In order to optimally enact this trait which is so deeply fundamental to our human nature, we have to allow people to express themselves. We have to privilege a kind of communication that allows us to teach and learn from each other.
And so I would make an argument in a kind of indirect way that what universities are trying to do when they privilege academic fre...
For the full transcript, check out
What is INTERTEMPORAL EQUILIBRIUM? What does INTERTEMPORAL EQUILIBRIUM mean?
What is INTERTEMPORAL EQUILIBRIUM? What does INTERTEMPORAL EQUILIBRIUM mean? INTERTEMPORAL EQUILIBRIUM meaning - INTERTEMPORAL EQUILIBRIUM definition - INTERTEMPORAL EQUILIBRIUM explanation.
Source: Wikipedia.org article, adapted under license.
Time and Space in Strategy Discourse: Implications for Intertemporal Choice
Strategic Management Journal video abstract by Donal Crilly
Pierre-Louis Lions at GYSS 2019 - On Mean Field Games and Applications
More info on the Global Young Scientists Summit at
What is INTERTEMPORAL CONSUMPTION? What does INTERTEMPORAL CONSUMPTION mean?
What is INTERTEMPORAL CONSUMPTION? What does INTERTEMPORAL CONSUMPTION mean? INTERTEMPORAL CONSUMPTION meaning - INTERTEMPORAL CONSUMPTION definition - INTERTEMPORAL CONSUMPTION explanation.
Source: Wikipedia.org article, adapted under license.
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Economic theories of intertemporal consumption seek to explain people's preferences in relation to consumption and saving over the course of their lives. The earliest work on the subject was by Irving Fisher and Roy Harrod, who described 'hump saving', hypothesizing that savings would be highest in the middle years of a person's life as they saved for retirement.
In the 1950s, more well-defined models built on discounted utility theory and approached the question of inter-temporal consumption as a lifetime income optimization problem. Solving this problem mathematically, assuming that individuals are rational and have access to complete markets, Modigliani & Brumberg (1954), Albert Ando, and Milton Friedman (1957) developed what became known as the life-cycle model. See Intertemporal choice:Modigliani's Life Cycle Income Hypothesis for details.
The life-cycle model of consumption suggests that consumption is based on average lifetime income instead income at any given age. First, young people borrow to consume more than their income, next, as their income rises through the years, their consumption rises slowly and they begin to save more. Lastly, during their retirement these individuals live off of their savings. Furthermore this theory implies that consumption is smoothed out relative to a person's income which is the reason economists set consumption proportional to potential income rather than actual income.
Attempts to test the life-cycle model against real world data have met with mixed success. In a review of the literature, Courant, Gramlich and Laitner (1984) note but for all its elegance and rationality, the life-cycle model has not tested out very well. The main discrepancies between predicted and actual behaviour is that people drastically 'underconsume' early and late in their lifetime by failing to borrow against future earnings and not saving enough to adequately finance retirement incomes respectively. People also seem to 'overconsume' during their highest earning years, the elderly do not consume from their assets as would be expected (particularly from their household equity) and also treat windfall gains in a manner inconsistent with the life-cycle model. Specific alterations to the theory have been proposed to help it accommodate the data; a bequest motive, capital market imperfections such as liquidity constraints, a changing individual utility function over time or a particular form of expectation as to future income.
Behavioural economists have proposed an alternate description of intertemporal consumption, the behavioural life cycle hypothesis. They propose that people mentally divide their assets into non-fungible mental accounts – current income, current assets (savings) and future income. The marginal propensity to consume (MPC) out of each of these accounts is different. Drawing upon empirical studies of consumption, superannuation and windfall gains they hypothesize that the MPC is close to one out of current income, close to zero for future income and somewhere in between with respect to current assets. These differing MPCs explain why people 'overconsume' during their highest earning years, why increasing superannuation contributions does not cause current savings to be reduced (as the life-cycle model implies) and why small windfall gains (which are coded as current income) are consumed at a high rate but a higher proportion of larger gains is saved.
ESA Junior Faculty Webinar 17 June 2020: Jing Yu and Prithvijit Mukherjee
Jing Yu (Beijing Institute of Technology), Leading by example in a public goods experiment with benefit heterogeneity. Discussant: Marie Claire Villeval.
Prithvijit Mukherjee (Utah State), Can we talk our way to equity and efficiency? Discussant: David Cooper.
This video is about My Movie 1
Sapling 2_Lesson 1: Interstellar Communication
#청담러닝 #청담어학원 #ChungdahmLearning #Chungdahm #April #에이프릴 #에이프릴어학원 #청담에이프릴어학원 #English #EnglishStudy #LearningEnglish #Animation #MotionGraphic #애니메이션 #모션그래픽 #TopicKnowledge #Technology #Interstellar #인터스텔라 #Alien #외계인
Pattern Coordination and the Theory of Interest | Robert P. Murphy
Robert P. Murphy presents the F. A. Hayek Memorial Lecture at the Ludwig von Mises Institute's Austrian Scholars Conference, held annually at the Mises Institute in Auburn, Alabama; 11-13 March 2010. Introduction by Joseph T. Salerno.
Playlist link for complete 2010 Austrian Scholars Conference:
Links to selected online writings on Austrian Economics:
Human Action: A Treatise on Economics
Man, Economy, and State: A Treatise on Economics
Economic Thought Before Adam Smith: An Austrian Perspective on the History of Economic Thought, Vol. I
Classical Economics: An Austrian Perspective on the History of Economic Thought, Vol. II
The Austrian School of Economics: A History of Its Ideas, Ambassadors, and Institutions
Theory and History: An Interpretation of Social and Economic Evolution
Economic Science and the Austrian Method
The Austrian Theory of the Trade Cycle and Other Essays
Economic Calculation in the Socialist Commonwealth
The Failure of the New Economics
Mises: The Last Knight of Liberalism
Ludwig von Mises: Scholar, Creator, Hero
Friedrich A. Hayek: A Centenary Appreciation
The Genius of Carl Menger
The Life and Works of Böhm-Bawerk
Mises and Austrian Economics
Why Austrian Economics Matters
Ludwig von Mises and the Austrian School of Economics
Mises, Hayek, and the Market Process: An Introduction
Praxeology: The Methodology of Austrian Economics
Epistemological Problems of Economics
The Ultimate Foundation of Economic Science
Nation, State, and Economy
Economic Freedom and Interventionism
The Anti-Capitalistic Mentality
Historical Setting of the Austrian School of Economics
The Philosophical Origins of Austrian Economics
Epistemological Relativism in the Sciences of Human Action
Marxism Unmasked: From Delusion to Destruction
Interventionism: An Economic Analysis
Capitalism: A Treatise on Economics
Socialism: An Economic and Sociological Analysis
The Gold Standard: Perspectives in the Austrian School
Austrian Macroeconomics: A Diagrammatical Exposition
Philosophical and Ethical Implications of Austrian Economics
The Place of Human Action in the Development of Modern Economic Thought
The Austrian Theory of Money
The Austrian School's Critique of Marxism
Methodology of the Austrian School Economists
New Directions in Austrian Economics
Mises and Austrian Economics: A Personal View
Classical Liberalism and the Austrian School
The Positive Theory of Capital
Principles of Economics
Free Market Economics: A Basic Reader
Government Against the Economy
Individualism and Economic Order
The Free Market and Its Enemies
Liberty and Property
Capitalism, Happiness, and Beauty
* * * * *
DISCLAIMER: This media presentation is owned by the Ludwig von Mises Institute and is protected under Creative Commons license (CC BY-NC-ND 3.0).
This YouTube channel is in no way endorsed by or affiliated with the Mises Institute, any of its scholars or staff members.
Understanding the Transmission Mechanism of Monetary Policy - Giancarlo La Cava
Teacher Immersion Series event – 21 June 2017
JRCPPF 2014 Conference: Keynote Address, Robert E. Hall
English Story with Subtitles ★ The Machine That Saved The World
Learn English through story The Machine That Saved The World
Author: Murray Leinster
English story level 5
Audio book with subtitles
The Machine That Saved The World is a book written by Murray Leinster. In the far future of 1972, on a secret military installation, Staff Sergeant Bellews is an expert on the latest scientific discovery: a way for ordinary machines like vacuums and lawnmowers to gather experience in their jobs, becoming error free over time. Then the strange broadcasts began to blow up transmitters everywhere. Were they from space? Enemies? the future? He didn't care until they started messin' with his machines. Then he took it personally.
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#EnOnTV #TheMachineThatSavedTheWorld #MurrayLeinster
You can find the text scripts (PDF, EPUB) here:
The fiscal-monetary mix in an era of low interest rates
On June 2, the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy examined the likelihood that interest rates will be lower than historic norms for the foreseeable future and that, in some future economic downturn, the Federal Reserve will again push short-term interest rates to zero raises significant challenges not only for monetary policymakers but to fiscal policymakers as well.
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Interstellar Communication · Parapsycenter
Magic of the Earth
Released on: 2018-08-17
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Session 6 - Discounting under Uncertainty/Ambiguity
CONFERENCE ON AMBIGUITY, UNCERTAINTY, AND CLIMATE CHANGE
Session 6 - Discounting under Uncertainty/Ambiguity
Over the past decade, there has been considerable progress in the economic theory of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion, involving decisions where the decision maker does not know, or is uncertain about, the probabilities attached to various potential outcomes. This is an appropriate characterization of the current understanding of many facets of climate change science: the uncertainty is pervasive and profound, with many unknowns, and unknown unknowns, that cannot be characterized in terms of a conventional probability distribution. The conference explores the application of developments in the economic theory of ambiguity to climate change policy, including both mitigation policy (the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions) and adaptation policy (coping with the consequences of climate change). Some, but not all, of the fog of uncertainty will gradually dissipate over time, but meanwhile policy decisions have to be made now, whether for mitigation or adaptation. Climate change policy analysis needs to reflect not only the prevailing uncertainty and ambiguity, but also the anticipated future resolution of uncertainty and ambiguity. The challenge is to incorporate risk and risk aversion, ambiguity and ambiguity aversion, and learning, more adequately into the formulation of a framework for decision making on climate change policy. This is the central focus of the conference.
To explore this issue, the conference brings some leading researchers on the economic theory of uncertainty and ambiguity and the economics of climate change together with some leading climate scientists and modelers. Some of the invitees have been asked to make formal presentations or provide formal comments; others invitees are expected to contribute to the discussion from the floor.
Interplanetary Communication, Prime Numbers, and Time/Distance
#LanguagePatterns: how the patterns in the language affect communication
Brief introduction to the #communication key #LanguagePatterns that are included in the course Explore and enjoy communication and change:
The movie is part of a playlist with a total of 22 # communication keys:
This video is for you who take interest in exploring how the patterns in the language and the words you use promote or inhibit the different communication #keys. Have you considered which words tend to create #presuppositions? Or which tend to act as #leading? The video gives suggestions for how you can use words and language with awareness in relation to the other communication #keys.
For more fun, inspiration and suggestions for everyday practice, check out the online course Explore and enjoy communication and change. Get introduced to all #communication keys and explore inspirational content for reflection and training as well as quizzes to test your understanding.
Your mission – should you choose to accept it – is to take 24 hours – and completely change your view on what's possible, so that you can achieve what you want easier and faster simply by being more aware and communicating more intentionally.
Do you have any comments or questions? We appreciate all kinds of feedback - please use the comments below. In addition, we appreciate whether you follow our channel and help build competence and awareness for a better world.
All the best from all of us at XLO
The 6Genesis Flagship
The 6Genesis Flagship is focused on the development of wireless technology. It explores wireless technology solutions, the implementation of the fifth generation of mobile communication technology (5G) and the development of the 6G standard. 6Genesis is the first large-scale 6G research programme in the world. Increasing digitalisation will present a huge change for all industries – be it consumer goods, industrial goods, traffic, trade, shipping or whatever.
Data Blitz II - Psych of Tech Conference 2017
Prasenjit Duara on Oceans as the Paradigm of History
Prasenjit Duara introduces the Theory, Culture & Society article 'Oceans as the Paradigm of History'
Abstract: The temporality of historical flows can be understood through the paradigm of oceanic circulations of water. Historical processes are not linear and tunneled but circulatory and global, like oceanic currents. The argument of distributed agency deriving from the ‘ontological turn’ dovetails with the oceanic paradigm of circulatory histories. The latter allows us to grasp modes of both natural and historical inter-temporal communication through the medium of the natural and built environment. Yet the inclination in these new studies to deny any particular privilege to human will or design risks neglecting the changing role of human agency. Analytically I distinguish historiographical time from historical time. Historiographical time may be seen as the purposive capture of historical processes for various goals whereas historical time is more continuous with natural flows. More than origins and causes, the paradigm emphasizes the ramifying con-sequences of purposive actions. The gap in our understanding of the two temporalities has had a devastating impact on the planet.
Line of Inquiry: Michael Weber on how central banks should communicate
review.chicagobooth.edu | Forward guidance, or statements meant to convey central banks’ expectations about future trends and decisions, has become a staple of monetary policy. Officials at the Fed, European Central Bank, and other banks hope that by letting the public know their plans, they can encourage consumers to spend or save more, thereby stimulating or cooling off the economy as appropriate. But it only works if the public gets the message and acts upon it—and research suggests many people simply don’t. Chicago Booth’s Michael Weber suggests explanations for what might be preventing forward guidance from having its intended effect, and what monetary policymakers can do to communicate more effectively.
UWFC 2017 Paper 5 Presention
Presentation of paper titled Risk Preferences and the Macro Announcement Premium at the 2017 Utah Winter Finance Conference. Paper authors are Hengjie Ai (Minnesota) and Ravi Bansal (Duke).
The Machine that saved the World by Murray Leinster, read by Phil Chenevert, unabridged audiobook
Unabridged audio book - Genre(s): Science Fiction
The Machine that Saved the World by Murray Leinster (1896 - 1975)
They were broadcasts from nowhere--sinister emanations flooding in from space--smashing any receiver that picked them up. What defense could Earth devise against science such as this? In the far future of 1972, on a secret military installation, Staff Sergeant Bellews is an expert on the latest scientific discovery: a way for ordinary machines like vacuums and lawnmowers to gather experience in their jobs, becoming error free over time. Then the strange broadcasts began to blow up transmitters everywhere. Were they from space? Enemies? the future? He didn't care until they started messin' with his machines. Then he took it personally. (summary from the first chapter and Phil Chenevert)
Read by: Phil Chenevert
Book Coordinator: Phil Chenevert
Meta Coordinator: Phil Chenevert
Proof Listener: Patrick Wells
00:00:00 Part 1
00:17:35 Part 2
00:35:19 Part 3
00:55:01 Part 4
01:14:10 Part 5
Running Time: 01:35:38
Murray Leinster playlist -»
Audio Recording © courtesy of Librivox
This video: © Copyright 2013. PublicAudioLibrary. All Rights Reserved.
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How the failure of Inter-temporal markets and liquidity preference affects the stabilization policy
Paper: Theory of public finance
Alphawellenreiter - Interplanetary Communication
Dirk Bell, gt,
Ryan Carniaux, tr
Christian Nink, dr
Fedor Ruskuc, b
live at subsonic Studio, Cologne
Its about Time. Temporality, Tensions, and Earth System Governance of the Future
ECON143 S20 Chapter2 Part2
This is the second lecture video for chapter 2 for ECON143
Big Ideas | Transformation for All Implementing the UN Agenda 2030 in Germany
Presentation to the ECI by Dr Jörg Mayer-Ries German Federal Ministry for the Environment
Expectations Are Observables. And We Haven’t Even Started Yet...
Webinar session by Rüdiger Bachmann, Notre Dame University.
The Contribution of Medial Prefrontal Cortex to Moral Decision Making, Giuseppe Di Pellegrino
Giuseppe Di Pellegrino (University of Bologna), The Contribution of Medial Prefrontal Cortex to Moral Decision-Making
The 17th Cracow Methodological Conference: The Normative Mind. Dimensions of Decision Making took place on May 16-17, 2013, at the Polish Academy of Arts and Sciences, Sławkowska St. 17.
The website of the conference is:
There are various issues connected to the normative dimension of the mind. First, there exists the issue of rule-following: how is it possible that the human mind can apprehend rules and obey or disobey them? Second, there is the problem of normativity: when is a rule of behavior normative? Third, there is the question pertaining to the basis of the normative mind: whether it is of a psychological or biological character and what are the differences between various kinds of normative reasoning (moral, legal, prudential). During the conference these and related issues were discussed by philosophers, psychologists and neuroscientists.
Confronting Risk and Ambiguity in Macroeconomics and Finance
For decades or centuries, economists and decision theorists have struggled to use probability to understand how individuals respond to risk and ambiguity. When investors or consumers face a complex economic environment, it is challenging to represent the uncertainty they face with probability theory. At this Friedman Forum, Lars Peter Hansen, a leader in this field, demonstrates how to think about this problem—and why it matters.
If you experience technical difficulties with this video or would like to make an accessibility-related request, please send a message to email@example.com.
Central Banks & Distribution
Central banks & distribution 14h15-15h30 9-4-15
”How Can We Improve DSM-5,” Arthur M. Freeman III, M.D.
”How Can We Improve DSM-5,” Arthur M. Freeman III, M.D.
ETSU Psychiatry Grand Rounds 05.06.16
Recent Lessons for Financial Regulation and Macroprudential Policy
In this September 8, 2020 webinar, panelists discussed the extraordinary regulatory/macropru policy responses to COVID-19 in many countries, including temporary easing of some regulations, use of macrorprudential tools, and other adjustments to preserve capital and liquidity at financial institutions. The discussion focused on efficacy of these policy changes in the current economic environment, particularly to support credit to the nonfinancial sector, and to avoid having a financial crisis on top of the real economy crisis.
Ryozo Himino, Commissioner, Japan Financial Service Authority
Donald Kohn, Robert V. Roosa Chair of International Economics at Brookings, Financial Stability Committee member at the Bank of England, Former Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve Board
Jeremy Stein, Moise Y. Safra Professor of Economics at Harvard University, former Governor of the Federal Reserve Board.
Moderator: Patricia C. Mosser, Director of Central Banking and Financial Policy@SIPA, and Senior Research Scholar, Columbia SIPA
Discussant: Takatoshi Ito, Professor of International and Public Affairs a, Columbia SIPA, Associate Director of the Center on Japanese Economy and Business at Columbia Business School.
This event was presented in conjunction with the Center on Japanese Economy and Business, Columbia Business School.
MITAB20-Robert-Lost Generation: System Resilience and Flexibility
Virtual Autumn Conference 2020: Keynote by Markus Brunnermeier
Markus Brunnermeier on digital currency (#CBDC) at the Virtual Autumn Conference 2020 “Banking and Payments in the Digital World”.
00:00:11 | Introductory remarks by Emanuel Mönch, Head of Research, Bundesbank
00:01:42 | Keynote by Markus Brunnermeier, Edwards S. Sanford Professor, Princeton University
— Technological Trends (00:04:05)
— New Currency Competition (00:13:46)
— Monetary Sovereignty (00:29:54)
— International Monetary System & Digital Currency Areas (00:50:30)
01:01:17 | Concluding remarks by Emanuel Mönch
Virtual Autumn Conference 2020: “Banking and Payments in the Digital World”
Banking and payment systems across the world are going through a period of remarkable evolution that has been catalysed by recent technological advances in data processing and computational power. Prominent examples include the introduction of digital wallets and blockchain-based tokens for consumer payments as well as the development of instantaneous payment and settlement services between banks.
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